Story summarized from Business Week

Can Wal-Mart muscle its way into banking? Don’t bet against it.

FEBRUARY 7, 2005 — "It's not a question of if Wal-Mart's going to be a bank, it's a question of when." So says D. Anthony Plath, professor of finance at Charlotte’s University of North Carolina.

Wal-Mart is legally constrained from being a bank, or from owning one, but it already has partnerships with banks, and already provides in-store financial services—some of which are undercutting competitors’ prices. And the giant super-chain’s ambitions to do much much more is giving the financial industry the jitters.

Although other companies, like Nordstrom and General Motors, have brought banks and thrifts or hybrid Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.-insured industrial loan companies under their wings, they don’t set off alarms in the financial industry the way Wal-Mart does.

In 1999, Wal-Mart tried to acquire an Oklahoma savings bank, but was blocked by the Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, the result of an overhaul of federal banking law. And in 2002 California’s legislature put the skids to Wal-Mart's efforts to purchase a small industrial loan company (ILC).

But Wal-Mart Stores Inc didn't rise to first place among world retailers by accepting defeat without a fight. In spite of its bruises, it has steadily increased its activity in financial services. The latest move, made public Jan. 21, 2005, introduces a no-fee Wal-Mart Discover credit card offering cash rebates of 1%. It will jointly inaugurate the service with GE Consumer Finance this March.

Wal-Mart is not likely to be satisfied with such basic services. It is expected to apply its successful low-price/high-volume blueprint to much broader horizons in the financial world. A lot of bankers think the gargantuan retailer won't be satisfied until it has full banking powers.

Wal-Mart already has more than a foot in the door. In the last three years it has forged cooperative ventures with financial-service providers MoneyGram International and SunTrust Banks making it possible to provide low-priced money orders and wire transfers. Bank branches operated by partners now operate in nearly 1,000 of its supercenters. SunTrust is beta testing almost 45 bank branches in Wal-Mart stores called "Wal-Mart Money Center by SunTrust," and expects to have 100 of them by 2006.

Wal-Mart customers are already seeing benefits. Payroll checks can be cashed for only $3, money can be transferred  to Mexico for $9.46, and a money order costs only 46 cents. Prices for these items at some competitors are twice these figures. Outlets handling these transactions are typically high-margin businesses that take advantage of poor people and immigrants—sometimes illegally. In such a greedy environment Wal-Mart’s offerings will be welcome.

David Robertson, publisher of The Nilson Report, a newsletter about credit and debit cards, says that "Traditionally, nonbank vendors of financial services have charged an arm and a leg." Gary Stibel of New England Consulting Group in Westport, Conn, says, "Wal-Mart is giving people in lower-income brackets opportunities in financial services they never had before."

As Wal-Mart tries to stay growing, financial services could be lucrative new source of profits. A competitor estimates that services already offered by Wal-Mart are worth $5 billion a year in fees. That gives them a lot of room to reduce prices and still make a profit. Using an apt metaphor, Robert G. Markey Jr., says Wal-Mart will "collapse the price umbrella," putting pressure on check cashers and wire-transfer leader Western Union Financial Services. Markey is consulting firm Bain & Co.'s director for financial services.

The basic services Wal-Mart offers now add up to a mere “rounding error” on the balance sheet of the $287 billion company. The results for the financial services unit are not called out separately, but are included along with "other income," which totaled $2.1 billion for the first 3 quarters of the past fiscal year. This was an increase of 31%—but was still only 1% of total revenues. There's a lot of growth potential, says Bert Ely of Ely & Co., banking consultants in Alexandria, Va. "They're developing, in customers' minds, a link between Wal-Mart and going to the bank. That has powerful long-term implications."

 Some financial-service suppliers aren’t eager to get on board the Wal-Mart express. According to Jane J. Thompson, president of Wal-Mart Financial Services, "some of the leaders in the industry don't want to hurt their margins and don't want to work with us." MoneyGram is not one of the reluctant brides. It is running only a distant second to Western Union now, which has 12% market share in global money transfers, dwarfing MoneyGram’s 1%. So what’s to lose? Wal-Mart can catalyze an immense amount of business from more than 100 million customer visits a week in its 3,100 U.S. stores.

As an also-runner, MoneyGram wasn’t too concerned about protecting margins, but was thinking about growth—a perfect fit for Wal-Mart, says vice-president of MoneyGram, Daniel J. O'Malley. Another advantage of working with Wal-Mart—it will be helpful to see how Wal-Mart does business. This from SunTrust’s Executive Vice-President Christopher T. Holmes. It will be even more helpful if Wal-Mart actually gets into the banking business.

Could Wal-Mart in fact become a full fledged bank? To do so, it would have to overcome existing federal prohibitions against combining banking and commerce. The pertinent legislation was intended to keep big companies like Wal-Mart from squeezing competitors by denying them credit. Another no-no would be moving losses from a retail company to a bank insured by, for example, the FDIC.

The word on the street—or in the vaults—is that Wal-Mart will find a way past those restrictions. Vice-president of Independent Community Bankers of America, Ronald K. Ence, says Wal-Mart was active in Washington last year lobbying for expansion of the bank-like prerogatives of the Industrial Loan Companies. A bill was passed in the House in 2004 that would have permitted unlimited interstate banking, but only for those with at least 85% of their business in financial services. The bill did not pass in the Senate,

If Wal-Mart were to gain the right to conduct full-bore banking, it could offer everything from checking and savings accounts to mortgages, car loans, and even small-business loans, and do so at prices well below those of its competitors. "There's no question, they want to have a nationwide financial-services network. If they do, there's no doubt in my mind they'll be able to do to community banks the same thing they've done to the local grocery store and the local hardware store and the local clothing store," says Ence.

Wal-Mart says its plans for future growth aren’t dependent on owning a bank. "Our strategy is what you see," says Wal-Mart's Thompson. She was once executive vice-president of Sears, Roebuck & Co.'s credit business. The financial services Wal-Mart offers are intended for lower-income customers and employees, many of whom don't have a bank account—and there are an estimated 56 million American adults who fit in that category. Providing these services for [financially] underserved customers “gets right at what we like to be known for," says Thompson, who moved to Wal-Mart in early 2002. The [financial] units’ profits, she says, are not as important as the fact that these services attract customers to the stores.

"My whole thing is about starting with the customer," Thompson says. She has learned from Sears's problems in the 1980s as the company tried to build a financial supermarket. She joined Sears in 1988 and took over its credit operation in 1993. In that period, the store invited onto its premises offices of Allstate insurance, Dean Witter brokerage, and Coldwell Banker Real Estate. But Sears discovered that many of its customers didn't feel comfortable buying securities and insurance—or houses—from the same store where they bought washer/driers.

Wal-Mart may be attempting to avoid Sears' errors, but its actions suggest that the company has ambitious goals. Wal-Mart calls itself—on its Web site—"a trusted name in financial services." And in stores, the money centers that are already up and running bear the potent Wal-Mart brand.

Up to now Wal-Mart’s main competitors don’t feel that they’re being hurt. 7-Eleven provides check-cashing and money orders at 1,000 kiosks in their stores, but says it's primary service is convenience, not the lowest price available.

And a spokesman for Ace Cash Express Inc., the nation's biggest check-cashing chain, Eric C. Norrington, claims Wal-Mart hasn't impacted significantly on Ace’s growth or price structure. Instead, "Wal-Mart has validated the importance of this market segment. That's attention we welcome," he says.

But complacency can be fatal, as some retailers—including toy stores, groceries and jewelers—have discovered. Considering Wal-Mart’s longstanding interest in financial services, their technological know-how, their access to capital, and their national clout, banks—especially small and midsize banks—may be justified in being paranoid. Even big ones should stay on their toes. "The mistake would be to stick your head in the sand and try to convince yourself that Wal-Mart is not a factor," says Bain’s Markey. Whatever the obstacles, Wal-Mart appears to be set on a steady course to becoming a force in consumer finance.
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Original story for Business Week by Wendy Zellner

 

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